Informalidade na América Latina: uma análise por Vetores Autorregressivos em Painel
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/2236-9996.2023-5811Palabras clave:
informalidade, América Latina, VAR em painelResumen
É fundamental conhecer o tamanho, a dinâmica e as principais causas da informalidade para adoção de políticas públicas factíveis. Assim, a fim de contribuir com a literatura, este artigo pretende analisar o comportamento da informalidade em uma amostra de países da América Latina entre 2002 e 2015. A estratégia empírica usará o método de Vetores Autorregressivos (VAR) em Painel para contornar problemas de endogeneidade entre o nível de informalidade e seus principais determinantes. Os resultados da estimação do Generalized method of moments (GMM) e as análises das Funções de Resposta ao Impulso (FRIs) ressaltam o efeito negativo do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) per capita sobre a informalidade e os efeitos positivos da taxa de desemprego e dos impostos sobre o tamanho da economia informal em relação ao PIB oficial.
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