Turismo internacional e crescimento econômico no Vietnã
uma análise de coerência wavelet
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.23925/2179-3565.2025v16i4p187-198Palavras-chave:
Turismo internacional, Crescimento econômico, Hipótese de crescimento liderada pelo turismo, Direito do turismo, Políticas de entrada, Coerência waveletResumo
O turismo é cada vez mais reconhecido como um importante motor econômico no Vietnã, fomentando o crescimento e a integração internacional. Com base na hipótese do Crescimento Liderado pelo Turismo, este estudo utiliza a análise wavelet (XWT, WTC, PWC) em dados de 1995-2024 de PIB per capita, chegadas internacionais e participação de serviços para examinar suas ligações dinâmicas. Os resultados mostram que o turismo se relaciona positivamente com o PIB, mas permanece instável, sendo mais forte no médio prazo (4 a 6 anos). Ao controlar os serviços, a ligação enfraquece, confirmando o setor de serviços como o principal canal de transmissão. O turismo pode, portanto, impulsionar o crescimento sustentável apenas quando apoiado pelo desenvolvimento de serviços, infraestrutura e estruturas legais e políticas, como a Resolução 08-NQ/TW e a Resolução 127/NQ-CP sobre expansão do visto eletrônico, transformação digital e turismo verde.
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