Uma reflexão sobre cenários de grande estratégia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20946/rad.v1i1.12509Keywords:
Cenários, Estratégia, Análise ProspectivaAbstract
O tempo incide diferenciadamente sobre as ferramentas de previsão, exigindo-as menos estruturadas no longo prazo; essa percepção propiciou a elaboração de cenários de grande estratégia - ou análise prospectiva, na expressão da "escola francesa". Trata-se da escolha e da construção do futuro de longo prazo, utilizadas para definir os rumos de um país ou de uma organização, em um horizonte que desenha objetivos para décadas à frente.Metrics
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