O impacto da indústria 4.0 na modelagem de cenários energéticos das economias em desenvolvimento
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.23925/2179-3565.2022v13i4p158-173Palavras-chave:
Indústria 4.0, Quarta Revolução Industrial, Setor Energético, Fontes Renováveis de Energia, Digitalização, Desenvolvimento, CenárioResumo
No estágio atual, as economias desenvolvidas são capazes de implementar medidas para melhorar a eficiência energética. Ao mesmo tempo, as economias em desenvolvimento concentram-se principalmente no desenvolvimento rápido, o que implica um rápido aumento na demanda de energia. A introdução de tecnologias inovadoras deverá satisfazer as necessidades energéticas das economias, melhorando simultaneamente a eficiência energética. Em particular, isso se aplica ao aumento do consumo de energia renovável. O desenvolvimento deste setor pode ser acelerado com a introdução da Indústria 4.0. O objetivo do estudo é determinar o impacto da Indústria 4.0 na modelagem de cenários energéticos de economias em desenvolvimento. A pesquisa envolveu métodos de análise e síntese, análise econômica e estatística, métodos gráficos e de comparação. O estudo revelou um alto impacto da Indústria 4.0 na economia ucraniana, em particular no setor de energia. Entre outras coisas, uma maior eficiência energética é o resultado desse impacto. Foi determinado que o consumo de energia renovável na Ucrânia aumentou significativamente em 11,5 vezes durante o período estudado. As diferenças no desenvolvimento energético da Ucrânia e da China são descritas: A China escolheu a independência energética. Concluiu-se que o desenvolvimento e implementação das mais recentes tecnologias desempenham um papel significativo nos cenários energéticos. O momento de atingir as metas é a principal diferença nos cenários energéticos entre países desenvolvidos e países em desenvolvimento. A perspectiva de novas pesquisas deve ser o meio determinante para medir o impacto da incerteza na modelagem energética.
Referências
Beier, G., Ullrich, A., Niehoff, S., Reißig, M., & Habich, M. (2020). Industry 4.0: How it is defined from a sociotechnical perspective and how much sustainability it includes – A literature review. Journal of cleaner production, 259, 120856. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120856
CERN. (2018). Top 5 countries that invest in RES more than anyone else. Retrieved from https://cern.com.ua/2018/09/29/top-5-krayin-yaki-vkladayut-u-vde-bilshe-vsih/#:~:text=Лідерство%20по%20вкладеннях%20в%20створення,і%20виробленні%20сонячної%20теплової%20енергії
Chen, M., Sinha, A., Hu, K., & Shah, M. I. (2021). Impact of technological innovation on energy efficiency in industry 4.0 era: Moderation of shadow economy in sustainable development. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 164, 120521. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120521
Child, M., Koskinen, O., Linnanen, L., & Breyer, C. (2018). Sustainability guardrails for energy scenarios of the global energy transition. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 91, 321–334. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.079
DNV-GL. (2019). Energy transition outlook 2019. A global and regional forecast to 2050. Retrieved from https://eto. dnvgl.com/2019
Energy Transition. (2019). Top 5 countries - leaders in wind energy. Retrieved from https://energytransition.in.ua/top-5-krain-lideriv-u-vitroenerhetytsi/
Equinor. (2019). Energy perspectives 2018: Long-term macro and market outlook. Retrieved from https://www.readkong.com/page/energy-perspectives-2018-long-term-macro-and-market-outlook-2176428
Ghobakhloo, M. (2020). Industry 4.0, digitization, and opportunities for sustainability. Journal of Cleaner Production, 252, 119869. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119869
Ghobakhloo, M., & Fathi, M. (2021). Industry 4.0 and opportunities for energy sustainability. Journal of Cleaner Production, 295, 126427. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.126427
Greenpeace. (2015). Energy [r]Evolution. A sustainable world energy outlook 2015. Brussels: Greenpeace, Solar Power Europe and Global Wind Energy Council.
Honcharenko, V., Babenko, V., Panteleimonenko, A., & Pozhar, A. (2019). China innovative development of renewable energy. Economic Scope, 152, 5-16. Retrieved from http://dspace.puet.edu.ua/handle/123456789/8320
Iacobuţă, G. I., Brandi, C., Dzebo, A., & Duron, S. D. E. (2022). Aligning climate and sustainable development finance through an SDG lens. The role of development assistance in implementing the Paris Agreement. Global Environmental Change, 74, 102509. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102509
IEA. (2019). World Energy Outlook 2019 – Analysis. Paris: International Energy Agency.
IEA. (2021). World Energy Outlook 2021. Retrieved from https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2021
IPCC. (2018). Global warming of 1.5°C: An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
IRENA. (2020). Global Renewables Outlook: Energy transformation 2050 (Edition: 2020). Abu Dhabi: International Renewable Energy Agency. Retrieved from https://www.irena.org/publications/2020/Apr/Global-Renewables-Outlook-2020
Jones, D., Snider, C., Nassehi, A., Yon, J., & Hicks, B. (2020). Characterising the Digital Twin: A systematic literature review. CIRP Journal of Manufacturing Science and Technology, 29, 36-52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cirpj.2020.02.002
Machado, C. G., Winroth, M., Carlsson, D., Almström, P., Centerholt, V., & Hallin, M. (2019). Industry 4.0 readiness in manufacturing companies: challenges and enablers towards increased digitalization. Procedia Cirp, 81, 1113-1118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procir.2019.03.262
McKinsey & Company. (2019). New global energy perspective 2019: Reference case. Retrieved from www.mckinsey.com/industries/oil-and-gas/our-insights/global-energy-perspective-2019
National Energy Company “Ukrenergo”. (2020). Integration plan of UES of Ukraine in ENTSO-E. Retrieved from https://getmarket.com.ua/storage/event-speakers-presentations/November2020/OtLUfdF0DBcr4nZzrPna.pdf
Nurton, J. (2020). Patenting trends in renewable energy. Retrieved from https://www.wipo.int/wipo_magazine/en/2020/01/article_0008.html
Oil & Gas of Ukraine. (n.d.). The emergence of a new energy economy. Retrieved from https://oil-gas.com.ua/novyny/%D0%9F%D0%BE%D1%8F%D0%B2%D0%B0-%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%BE%D1%97-%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B3%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%97-%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BC%D1%96%D0%BA%D0%B8
Oliinyk, О. М. (2018). State and prospects of the development of China's energy industry: prospects of cooperation for Ukraine. Ukraine–China – 25 Years of Cooperation: Results and Prospects: “One Belt, One Way”, 271-281. Retrieved from https://elibrary.ivinas.gov.ua/935/1/Стан%20та%20перспективи%20розвитку%20енергетичної.pdf
Omelianenko, V., & Omelianenko, О. (2022). Servicing in the economy of Industry 4.0: regional context. Materials of the 4th International Scientific Conference “Competitive Strategies of Economic Development in the Conditions of Global Challenges”, 108-109. Retrieved from http://iuf.edu.ua/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/IUF_Conference-2022.pdf#page=108
On the approval of the Energy Security Strategy. Decree of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine No. 907-p of 4 August 2021. Retrieved from https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/907-2021-%D1%80#Text
Pustovhar, S. (2022). Trends in the development of entrepreneurship in Ukraine under the conditions of Industry 4.0. Economy and Society, 39. https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2022-39-15
Regarding the promotion of the implementation of the technological approach “Industry 4.0” in Ukraine. Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine No. 750 of 12 July 2021. Retrieved from https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/750-2021-%D0%BF#Text
Shell Global. (2018). Shell Scenarios Sky. Meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement. Retrieved from https://www.shell.com/energy-and-innovation/the-energyfuture/scenarios/shell-scenario-sky.html
State Statistics Service of Ukraine. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://ukrstat.gov.ua/
The World Bank. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://data.worldbank.org/
UTS-ISF. (2019). Achieving the Paris Climate Agreement goals, global and regional 100% renewable energy scenarios with non-energy GHG pathways for +1.5°C and +2°C. Sydney: University of Technology Sydney – Institute for Sustainable Futures. Retrieved from www.springer.com/gp/ book/9783030058425.
Downloads
Publicado
Edição
Seção
Licença
Esta obra está licenciada sob uma licença Creative Commons Atribuição - No comercial - Sin derivaciones 4.0 Internacional
1.O(s) autor(es) autoriza(m) a publicação do artigo na revista;
2.O(s) autor(es) garante(m) que a contribuição é original e inédita e que não está em processo de avaliação em outra(s) revista(s);
3.A revista não se responsabiliza pelas opiniões, ideias e conceitos emitidos nos textos, por serem de inteira responsabilidade de seu(s) autor(es);
4.É reservado aos editores o direito de proceder ajustes textuais e de adequação do artigos às normas da publicação.
1.1 Copyright Statement
This journal is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivers 4.0 International license.
1. The author (s) authorize the publication of the article in the journal;
2. The author (s) warrant that the contribution is original and unpublished and is not in the process of being evaluated in other journal (s);
3. The journal is not responsible for the opinions, ideas and concepts emitted in the texts, as they are the sole responsibility of its author (s);
4. The editors are entitled to make textual adjustments and to adapt the articles to the standards of publication.
